The seat of Kingston is in the southern outer suburbs of Adelaide and has always been a marginal seat changing hands no less than seven times in the last forty years. Richardson won the seat from Labor in 2004. A new Adelaide Advertiser poll shows that Labor will easily win the seat. The newspapers poll of 724 voters gave a swing to Labor of more than six per cent taking its two-party-preferred support to 56 to the government's 44.
While Brokenshire’s move to Family First may have some impact on the 2PP vote, it is unlikely to be enough to swing the seat in the incumbent’s favour. According to the 2006 census, 30.1% of Kingston voters stated no religion on their census form, the highest rate in the country. This seat, therefore, would not appear to be Family First core constituency. However South Australia is the party’s heartland and where it was founded in 2002 by Pentecostalist pastor Andrew Evans. After being rebuffed by Nick Xenophon, Evans campaigned under the new banner of Family First was elected to South Australia’s upper house in the state election that year with 4.02 percent of the vote.
Evans’s victory attracted much media interest as well as increased local support. Adelaide businessman Peter Harris was recruited to become chairman and the brains trust behind Family First. It was Harris who negotiated the preference deals in Victoria that saw Steve Fielding elected to the federal Senate in 2004. Fielding, a former industry super fund marketing manager, approached the party to run as a candidate and succeeded despite Evans’s reluctance to push the party outside South Australia.
Steve Fielding polled poorly in the election and even got fewer votes than the Democratic Labor Party (DLP). But he got elected thanks to the machine men of the Victorian Federal ALP who wanted to punish the Greens by preferencing Family First. Fielding got in thanks to all the Labor voters in Victoria who voted above the line. Fielding has been an unpredictable voter in the Senate. He has voted with the government on many issues but was opposed to tougher asylum-seeking legislation and managed to bring it down with the help of rebellious Liberal senators.
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